The most recent national survey from The Wall Street Journal shows that Trump is currently ahead of Harris by 2 percentage points, with 47% of the vote compared to Harris’s 45%. However, it’s important to note that this lead falls within the margins of error, indicating that either candidate could actually be in the lead.
While some polls and betting markets may show a larger lead for Trump, the reliability of these sources is questionable. The Journal’s previous poll of seven battleground states earlier in October revealed that the race was essentially tied, with Trump only pulling ahead significantly in Nevada, which was still within the margin of error.
The upcoming weeks leading to the election will be crucial in determining the outcome, as the race is very close and fluid. The key factor for victory will likely be each candidate’s ability to motivate their supporters to vote on election day.
The Wall Street Journal conducted the survey with 1,500 registered voters from October 19 to 22, with a margin of error of plus or minus 2.5 percentage points. This data provides valuable insights into the current state of the election and highlights the importance of voter turnout in determining the ultimate winner.
