Tag: Economic soft landing

New Framework for Predicting Fed Funds Rate In this installment, we introduce a new framework for predicting the fed funds rate two quarters ahead. By utilizing probabilities of three growth scenarios—soft-landing, stagflation, and recession—we aim...

A New Approach to Predicting Monetary Policy Pivots and Fed Funds RateIn the fourth part of our series on navigating the Forex market, we introduce a new framework aimed at quantifying episodes of monetary...